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  • Boeing and Airbus defy the odds, but are there repercussions?

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    After more than a year of calls for cutting production of narrowbody aircraft, Airbus and Boeing are headed in the opposite direction. Airbus announced Tuesday that it will increase rates on A320 starting in December, going from 34 to 36 aircraft per month and Boeing Commercial Airplanes CEO, Jim Albaugh, says that a decision will be made in April and this summer on 777 and 737 rates, respectively.

    In a business that is inherently cyclical, Boeing has reliably dropped narrowbody rates every 10 years ±1 year, the recession of 2009 has broken that trend. Boeing and Airbus have maintained that responsible management of the backlog is a the root of the production stability and backfilling delivery spots with downstream customers was the way to stave off any cuts.
    Though, what about a different way to look at it? For both Airbus and Boeing, the profit-margin narrowbody products (A320, 737) which have been paid off for years are currently paying for low/no/negative-margin programs (A380, 787). Based on that logic, along with the availability of financing from EXIM and ECA that keeps aircraft flowing out of the US and Europe, the rates are kept high to sustain operations across each company.
    No one disputes that the cycle, which hit bottom last year, will recover, but just how much? Have the painful deep cuts been fully avoided? Is the cycle officially broken on narrowbody production? Or have Boeing and Airbus just deferred what could be a bigger fall later created by the bursting of a narrowbody bubble due to over-supply of aircraft?

    This post was originally published to the internet between 2007 and 2012. Links, images, and embedded media from that era may no longer function as intended.

    This post originally appeared at Flightglobal.com from 2007 to 2012.

  • Fokker to re-join the battle for the 100-seat market with XF100 NG

    XF100ng.jpgXF70ng.jpgJust in case you were worried that there weren’t enough 70-100-seat commercial aircraft being offered in the next decade, a newly funded and resurrected Fokker Aircraft is hoping to join the fray with a next generation F-100 and F-70. 

    Just so we’re clear, a next gen 100-seat Fokker – dubbed the XF100 NG – would compete along side the currently operating Embraer E-190/195 and Bombardier CRJ900/1000, and lesser utilized Airbus A318 and Boeing 737-600, and by 2015 would have the CS100, Mitsubishi MRJ90/100 and Sukhoi Superjet 100 to compete with. This market is not hurting for new entrants.
    That being said, the €20m ($27m) loan from the Dutch economics ministry would enable NG Aircraft to take the F-100 prototype (PH-MKH), now stored in Woensdrecht in The Netherlands, and add new engines, new continuous isobar winglets, add range and fuel capacity and a new interior with IFE and LCD lighting for an assembly completion by 2015. An XF70 NG would presumably follow later.
    By the look of the renderings on the company’s website, the XF-100NG appears to be sporting a BR725 engine like that of the Gulfstream G650, though a powerplant choice isn’t stated. NG Aircraft appears to have an interesting view of the marketplace moving forward, but there will be a stiff headwind for development against multiple clean sheet designs, but that’s not to say I’m not extremely intrigued by this concept. Let’s see how this one plays out.
    From a business perspective, those chasing the dream of resurrecting the F-100 and F-70, might actually have a case to make. Airlines love clean sheet designs for all the goodies (and added efficiency) they bring to the table. However, NG Aircraft is looking at an already established design, making their investment more an incremental evolution of existing technology. They believe that their winglets will provide a 2% improvement in fuel burn, but give no indication of the efficiency with the new engines. Yet, the real savings to NG might come from manufacturing costs which the company believes can be reduced by 20% with high-speed milling, castings, extrusions and an overall reduction in parts. Could NG regain market share on discount pricing alone?
    Photos Credit NG Aircraft

    This post was originally published to the internet between 2007 and 2012. Links, images, and embedded media from that era may no longer function as intended.

    This post originally appeared at Flightglobal.com from 2007 to 2012.

  • Movie Monday – March 8 – Inside American Airlines

    Last year, I managed to catch the last 10 minutes of this week’s Movie Monday. After seeing that last bit of Inside American Airlines – A Week in The Life, I scoured the internet in search of the program. I was less than successful. Though a huge hat tip goes to AirShowFan for the find. 

    This 90min documentary stands as an interesting juxtaposition to Letter from an Airline Pilot, the 1947 look at the operations of TWA, which was bought by American in 2001. How airlines have changed in the intervening 62 years is a stark historical comparison. The documentary looks at all the dynamics of modern airlines including frequent flier programs, labor/management relations, ticketing strategy, baggage handling, fuel costs, safety training, flight operations and perhaps most importantly, the state of the airline business model as a whole. Enjoy!

     

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    This post was originally published to the internet between 2007 and 2012. Links, images, and embedded media from that era may no longer function as intended.

    This post originally appeared at Flightglobal.com from 2007 to 2012.

  • Roadtrip! 787 heading for Victorville this week

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    The second 787 test aircraft (ZA002) is leaving the nest as early as Tuesday, headed to Southern California Logistics Airport in Victorville, California about 50mi outside of Los Angeles. This will be the first out of state trip for 787 Flight Test after more than two and a half months of testing at airports in Washington. 

    FlightBlogger imageZA002 is expected to make a mid-morning arrival on Tuesday in Victorville after a little over three hour flight from Boeing Field. The 15,059ft runway at VCV is ideal for flight test as it provides a lot of margin for test pilots and is the second largest public-use runway in the US after Denver International Airport. During their time in California, flight test staff will be working out of a quadruple-wide trailer relocated from the local City Hall.
    Victorville is also the home to a large aircraft boneyard, as the final resting place for the fleets of defunct airlines like Oasis, Silverjet, Aloha, Cargo B and Aladia, as well as a lot of former Delta L-1011s.

    Occupancy at Victorville went up significantly in the last two years with older aircraft coming out of service from airlines like United, Singapore Airlines, British Airways and Cathay Pacific.

    This post was originally published to the internet between 2007 and 2012. Links, images, and embedded media from that era may no longer function as intended.

    This post originally appeared at Flightglobal.com from 2007 to 2012.

  • Sources: Dreamlifter deal part of 747-8 compensation to Atlas

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    Boeing will shift control of its fleet of four modified 747-400 large cargo freighters or ‘Dreamlifters’ to Atlas Air Worldwide Holdings as part of a compensation deal in the wake of delays incurred by the airframer’s 747-8 program, sources close to the agreement confirm.

    Atlas would not “confirm nor deny” that the nine-year Dreamlifter deal is part of compensation package for its delayed order for 747-8F aircraft, now scheduled to begin delivery in early 2011.

    The carrier emphasizes that the outsourcing model which Atlas operates under creates a “cost-effective” operation for operating the Dreamlifters on worldwide operations.

    Atlas, which is the largest customer for the 747-8F, holds orders for 12 of the 76 freighter aircraft Boeing has on order.

    Atlas originally planned to take delivery six 747-8Fs in 2010 and the remaining six in 2011. Now deliveries will be completed during the first half of 2013, says Ed McGarvey, vice president and treasurer of Atlas Air Worldwide Holdings.

    Boeing has incurred more than a year of delays on its 747-8 program after design changes and supply chain woes stalled the development of the company’s largest aircraft.

    Boeing declines to “publicly share the ins-and-outs” of the contract, but is not offering an explicit denial that the deal was part of a compensation package related to the 747-8F.

    As part of the operational agreement, Boeing will retain ownership of the Dreamlifter fleet, and handle certain costs such as fuel, while Atlas pilots and crews will operate the aircraft.

    Atlas says at this point it doesn’t believe it will need to add any additional pilots to operate the Dreamlifters, as the aircraft is largely based on the 747-400. The company currently employs roughly 650 747-400 pilots, but does acknowledge some crew will need “differences training” to operate the modified Dreamlifter.

    Starting in September, Atlas will assume control of the Dreamlifter cargo flights from Everegreen International Airlines, which won a contract from Boeing for the operation in December 2005. Evergreen inaugurated its Dreamlifter flights in August 2007.

    Evergreen was formally notified of the contract cancellation on 2 March, but Boeing offered no explanation for the abrupt termination, says Tim Wahlberg, chairman of holding company Evergreen International Aviation.

    He adds that Boeing informed the airline of a “best value” review it was conducting as a part of normal business, and to “not worry about it” as Everegreen was “doing a great job”.

    “I can’t even tell you how disappointed we are,” says Wahlberg, who adds that 75 pilots, mechanics and ground crew supporting the Dreamlifter operations will be difficult to retain.

    Wahlberg says Everegreen, which achieved 93% on-time performance with the Dreamlifter, will bid to operate the aircraft again at the end of Atlas’ nine-year contract.

    Wahlberg adds that Evergreen beat Atlas Air during the initial 2005 bid for the contract.

    At the time Evergreen assumed control in 2007, the contract life was 20 years, renewable every five years over the life of the 787 program.

    The four aircraft, which were specially modified in Taiwan from passenger 747-400 aircraft, are the backbone of the 787’s global supply chain, ferrying over-sized structural components and tooling between Asia, Europe and the USA to integration and final assembly sites.

    This post was originally published to the internet between 2007 and 2012. Links, images, and embedded media from that era may no longer function as intended.

    This post originally appeared at Flightglobal.com from 2007 to 2012.

  • A stowaway’s view from a 747 flight over Africa

    Sometime in the last three weeks a 747 departed Johannesburg, South Africa for Maputo, Mozambique with an camera strapped to the nose landing gear looking aft along the fuselage. The result is a stunning piece of HD video taken over African skies. (music leaves something to be desired) You’ll notice that the Air France A380, which started service to JNB on February 17th, is parked at the gate giving some impression of just how recently the footage was recorded.

    The video reminds me of one angle available on the PMDG 747-400 in Flight Simulator X, and I must say, the real thing is one spectacular view. Though, I have to ask, how did the camera come down during the approach without the main gear coming down as well? 
    Based on what I can see on the video, my best guess points to this aircraft being a MK Airlines 747-200B(Special Freighter) which is painted in an all white livery, but the grey belly in the photo is a wild card. Guesses anyone?

    This post was originally published to the internet between 2007 and 2012. Links, images, and embedded media from that era may no longer function as intended.

    This post originally appeared at Flightglobal.com from 2007 to 2012.

  • Boeing’s NewGen 767 tanker to feature 787-style flight deck

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    Boeing has (unsurprisingly) announced that it will bid on the KC-X tanker contract to replace the KC-135 tanker. It’s choice, dubbed the NewGen Tanker, is based on the 767, but aspects of the design may pull from multiple variants of the twin-jet, including the wings, doors, flaps and cargo deck. Included in this design is the addition of winglets for improvement in cruise endurance as well.
    In the front of the aircraft, Boeing has opted to incorporate a 787-style flight deck with four 15.1in LCD displays (see above). Also added are two cursor control devices like those first introduced on the 777 in 1995. Missing from the NewGen 767 is the fifth, a multi-function display found on the 787, leaving the original twin-flight management computers. 
    The 767 has gotten periodic flight deck upgrades for different variants, including a 777-style upgrade with the 767-400ER. The KC-767 initially drew from this design, but has now been upgraded for the tanker bid with the most-updated 787 large-display format.
    Sales prospects for commercial 767s will be further limited as 787 begins deliveries, but the question becomes, will the 787-style displays on tanker ever find its way into non-military production on a Next Generation 777? What about a re-engined 737? Southwest already has plans to upgrade its 737-300s with the larger displays.
    That question ultimately rests on ITAR regulations, however if a commercial platform gets the flight deck first, then the flow of technology to the tanker could be unimpeded.
    Photos Credit Boeing

    This post was originally published to the internet between 2007 and 2012. Links, images, and embedded media from that era may no longer function as intended.

    This post originally appeared at Flightglobal.com from 2007 to 2012.

  • A340-300 in Darwin for testing. An Air France 447 connection? (Update1)

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    At Darwin Airport in Northern Territory, Australia an Airbus A340-300 has been undergoing flight testing since the February 21st. The curious arrival of the aircraft – MSN001 (F-WWAI) – was noted by the Northern Territory News under the headline A340 arrives in Top End for ice testing, stating that the aircraft is “being put through its paces in the Territory after a major air disaster off the coast of South America.”

    The article then goes on to state that the aircraft is “testing new engines at high altitude”, citing an industry source. While the article begins to draw a link to the testing in Darwin to the A330-200 Air France 447 crash in June, the relationship is anything but clear. This particular A340-300 is powered by four CFM56-5C engines while Air France’s fleet of A330-200s are powered by two General Electric CF6-80E1.

    F-WWAI-nose.jpgAn Airliners.net photo of F-WWAI arriving in Darwin on February 21st provides an interesting clue. Mounted on the partially painted nosecone are two red protrusions, and a third just aft of the cone, that appear to be external sensors.

    Much of the discussion regarding Air France 447 has been related to the A330/A340’s pitot tubes and sensors potentially returning bad airspeed data under certain icing conditions.

    At first glance, engine icing tests appear far less likely in this case if the purpose of the A340’s testing is related to Air France 447, especially when matched against the new hardware installed on the front of the aircraft.

    I’ve put in a formal query with Airbus about the A340-300 testing in Darwin and will update this post with additional information as it becomes available.

    UPDATE 5:58 PM ET: Airbus has responded to the initial query about the A340-300 testing with the following statement:

    Airbus is contributing to an international research program about meteorological conditions encountered at high altitudes. This contribution includes a number of flights carried out by an A340 from Airbus’ Flight Test division. This aircraft has been equipped with specific sensors to measure atmospheric conditions. Studies have determined that the highest probability to meet appropriate conditions would be in Australia, in the region of Darwin. Results are now being analysed.

    Photo Thumbnail Credit Martin Eadie (FULL VERSION)

    This post was originally published to the internet between 2007 and 2012. Links, images, and embedded media from that era may no longer function as intended.

    This post originally appeared at Flightglobal.com from 2007 to 2012.

  • Video: Complete Seattle Times interview with Jim Albaugh

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    Seattle Times aerospace reporter Dominic Gates sat down with Jim Albaugh, Boeing Commercial Airplanes CEO, in a wide-ranging discussion about the future of the company. The write-up of the interview provides a good overview of the topics covered, ranging from the location of future aircraft programs, the relationship between Boeing and its unions, as well as outsourcing and protection of intellectual property. 
    In addition to the print re-cap of the interview, the Times has published the hour-long video of the unedited interview. I highly recommend viewing it start to finish, especially if you wear (or want to wear) a Boeing badge.

    This post was originally published to the internet between 2007 and 2012. Links, images, and embedded media from that era may no longer function as intended.

    This post originally appeared at Flightglobal.com from 2007 to 2012.

  • Joyeux anniversaire Concorde!

    FlightBlogger imageI’m a big believer in anniversaries and birthdays, recognizing the accumulation of years, especially in aviation, is an important way to mark the passage of time and technological progress. Today is one of those days. Forty-one years ago, the Concorde (F-WTSS) prototype – one of two built – made its first flight from Toulouse on March 2, 1969. I found the original raw footage on Youtube in its original French. For those of us who don’t speak French (like myself), the action begins around 55 seconds. Enjoy!

    Editors Note: The reason the title of the post is in French is because 002 (G-BSST) – the British built Concorde – didn’t fly from Filton until April 9, 1969.

    This post was originally published to the internet between 2007 and 2012. Links, images, and embedded media from that era may no longer function as intended.

    This post originally appeared at Flightglobal.com from 2007 to 2012.