Author: Jon Ostrower

  • Breaking: Boeing wins KC-X, NewGen 767 becomes KC-46A

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    Here’s our initial story on the Pentagon decision to award the KC-X tanker contact to Boeing and the NewGen 767. Follow Flightglobal for all the latest on the award.

    This post was originally published to the internet between 2007 and 2012. Links, images, and embedded media from that era may no longer function as intended.

    This post originally appeared at Flightglobal.com from 2007 to 2012.

  • How the 747-8I ‘Sunrise’ colors came to be

    When the curtain fell at the premier of 747-8 Intercontinental in front of a crowd of 10,000, very few people inside Boeing knew what to expect from the livery adorning the company’s latest jumbo. 

    “Most people involved with the airplane were not aware of it,” says Rob Pollack, Boeing Commercial Airplanes vice president Advertising, Brand and Market Positioning, and the chief architect behind the Dreamliner brand.

    “We didn’t have widespread discussion of it and that was kind of done on purpose. And when we moved the airplane the night before, we wrapped it, it was kind of fun to really surprise an audience of that size.”

    What was unveiled on February 13 in Everett – now known as the 747-8 ‘sunrise’ colors – was a radical evolution of the company’s rebranding that first began in 2003 with the blue 7E7 livery. Pollack says the need to differentiate the 787 among a global audience, as well as geopolitical realities, drove Boeing’s development effort:

    The Boeing livery itself had basically been unchanged from the introduction of the 757 and 767, so we were going on 20-25 years. The market for this airplane was going to be well over half outside the US. So one of the things we really thought about was from a customer standpoint.

    This was 2003, Iraq had become an issue, the US government was not loved around the world and so our thought was, rather than do red, white and blue, why don’t we do something that was more readily understood around the world, and blue as a color – the sky – so we decided to pursue that direction, but we also wanted to get something that looked really different from a livery standpoint because an airplane that is pretty consistent in its look, from a paint standpoint, doesn’t really look that different. Everything we tried to do was to try and differentiate the product from what had come before it.

    The company’s branding of the 7E7 (subsequently the 787) had been part of a transformation by Boeing to offer a product to the airlines and their customers, representing a major shift by the airframer from a business to business focus to business to consumer. Pollack says in Boeing’s history, its past commercial aircraft had been given a name along with its numerical designation, like the 307 Stratoliner and 377 Stratocruiser

    “Some reason we had gotten away from that,” he says, aiming to “build a personality around the name.”

    The Dreamliner name, selected in a worldwide vote of four possible names, edged out Global Cruiser (which was preferred by then-BCA CEO Alan Mulally) by 2,500 votes from more than half a million cast. Stratoclimber and eLiner, were a distant third and fourth. It was out of this marketing appeal, in part, that Boeing helped realized its significant market success with the 787.

    It was with this branding in mind that Boeing started down the path of developing a unique colors scheme for the first 747-8I. First introduced with Pan American World Airways in 1970, the 747 and its iconic hump have made the jumbo universally recognized for the past four decades. Though re-introducing a 40 year old brand, especially in light of the market competition from the Airbus A380, required something extra. Boeing looked to the Porsche 911, first introduced in 1963, which has evolved significantly under the hood, yet its shape has remained fundamentally unchanged.

    “We had the realization that although this looked like the 747s of old, enough had changed on this airplane that it really wasn’t the same airplane as what people had come to know as the 747. So much of the airplane is new and we weren’t, from a marketing perspective, satisfied that we were conveying well enough how completely new this airplane was.” says Pollack.

    Under its hood, the 747-8 is quite different from the -400 that came before. Boeing has added an supercritical wing design with raked wingtips, new inboard and outboard flaps, roll-axis fly-by-wire controls, a larger empennage, new avionics for precision navigation, 787-inspired interior, new General Electric GEnx-2B engines and a 18.3ft (5.6m) stretch over its predecessor.

    “We want this to look uniquely different from the previous 747. We didn’t want to totally change the livery either, we wanted to keep that constant. We started looking at different alternatives,” he adds.

    This post was originally published to the internet between 2007 and 2012. Links, images, and embedded media from that era may no longer function as intended.

    This post originally appeared at Flightglobal.com from 2007 to 2012.

  • Middle East, North Africa in turmoil and the state of the backlog

    MENA-Mosaic.jpgPolitical turmoil across the Middle East and North Africa is having a chilling effect on tourism in the region, driving up the price of oil to above $105 a barrel, threatening airlines worldwide. But what of the health of the aircraft orders in one of the fastest growing parts of the world?

    The massive backlogs in these regions are supported by blistering economic growth and anchored by expanding tourism and a need for long-haul aircraft to connect distant points on the globe; both are key factors driving up narrow and widebody production rates on both sides of the Atlantic. 
    Yesterday’s cancellation of the F1 Grand Prix in Bahrain and the sudden shedding of one-third of EgyptAir’s fleet are just two examples of how the revolutions spread across the region are taking their toll on aviation and tourism. Just like 9/11, SARS, the 2008 oil crisis, the global financial crisis the Icelandic volcano, aviation seems destined to be knocked off course by a series of external events bent on wreaking havoc on global travel. 

    Let’s take a look at what the region has on order: Algeria, Bahrain, Egypt, Iraq, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Libya, Morocco, Oman, Saudi Arabia, Tunisia and Yemen hold orders 159 and 184 widebody and narrowbody aircraft, respectively, according to Flightglobal’s ACAS database.
    Regional Narrowbody Widebody
    Algeria   8 0
    Bahrain   6 44
    Egypt   14 6
    Iraq 6 30 10
    Jordan   7 11
    Kuwait   29 20
    Lebanon   2 0
    Libya   9 14
    Morocco   9 4
    Oman 4 6 7
    Saudi Arabia 8 43 27
    Tunisia   11 6
    Yemen   10 10
    TOTAL 18 184 159
    The two largest backlog holders in the region by far – UAE and Qatar – so far appear to be unaffected directly by the political turmoil, though if regional traffic collapses as a result, that could have a knock-on impact on Emirates, Etihad, Qatar and Flydubai’s short and medium-haul operations. Though these countries are far from immune from turmoil of their own, with protests planned in Doha on February 27. 
    For Boeing and Airbus a quick glance at the numbers shows a 137% increase over the next three years in worldwide wide-body output from 201 aircraft per year to 464 in 2014, according to the Teal Group. Those increases are driven by the 605 outstanding widebody aircraft ordered by lessors, airline and cargo operators in the Middle East and North Africa. The figures above do not reflect VIP and military charter operators in the region.

    Airbus has more skin in the game, with additional numbers from the Teal Group showing 23% of the Airbus backlog in the Middle East with 32% of its widebody aircraft, 46% of A380 orders and 39% of A350 orders planted in the region. For new market entrants, regional unrest may present further issues, with Bahrain’s Gulf Air thought to be nearing a decision on 100-seaters, including CSeries.

    On the one hand soaring gas prices could prompt the early retirement of less fuel efficient aircraft at airlines around the globe, further bolstering demand for fuel-sipping models as replacement aircraft. Though if high oil prices slow the recovery, demand for air travel could slow. Yet, regionally, any significant threat to long term growth may knock the best laid plans for production acceleration off course.
    Though leaping ahead, this entire episode illustrates another external threat to the backlog, potentially undermining a portion of the justification for production rate increases, though it prompts a chicken and the egg question. Is a potential regional oversupply of aircraft the result of a loss in external demand or a failure by airframers to properly read the fragility of the marketplace and grow in a way that doesn’t chase the cycle? 
    Fundamentally, only Boeing and Airbus are responsible for their rate increases, so the latter may be more likely. I’d be astonished if the headlines coming out of the Middle East and North Africa aren’t the number one item for discussion at strategy sessions at Airbus, Boeing, Embraer and Bombardier.
    Multi-dimensional production planning at its finest.

    This post was originally published to the internet between 2007 and 2012. Links, images, and embedded media from that era may no longer function as intended.

    This post originally appeared at Flightglobal.com from 2007 to 2012.

  • Photo of Note: First United Airlines 747-400 in new colors

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    Just in and fresh out of the paint shop today. United Airlines first 747-400 in the new United/Continental colors. N127UA is heading to San Francisco tonight then on to Incheon tomorrow. A big tip of the hat to the person who shared this with me.

    This post was originally published to the internet between 2007 and 2012. Links, images, and embedded media from that era may no longer function as intended.

    This post originally appeared at Flightglobal.com from 2007 to 2012.

  • Boeing’s Triple Challenge: Three aircraft, three certifications

    BBJ Boeing 747-8I N6067E RC001

    Boeing 787 Dreamliner N787BA ZA001

    Boeing 747-8F N747EX RC501

    This post is an expanded version as one part of a cover story appearing in next week’s issue of Flight International Magazine. See more photos from the premier of the 747-8 Intercontinental.

    SEATTLE — What originally began as a plan to sequentially develop an all-new jetliner and two jumbo variants, has turned into a concurrent push to achieve a three-front certification effort by the close of 2011.
    Boeing is facing a challenge on three fronts as it aims to gain regulatory approval on the 747-8I, 747-8F and the 787 – the first time in its history it has attempted such a demanding target.
    A mid-year certification for the jumbo freighter will be followed by a third-quarter sign off for 787, and closing the year with approval for the 747-8I, all while delivering a combined 25 to 40 of the new jets to Boeing’s patient customers.

    Boeing has never received more than two type certificates in a single calendar year, receiving regulatory approval for the 737-100 and -200 in 1967, the 757-200 and 767-200 in 1982 and 737-600 and -800 in 1998.
    The 747-8I, the next program to get underway, will require a two-aircraft approximately 600h flight test campaign, set to start in “early spring” around late March, with flight test completion in the fall, and a year-end certification, says Elizabeth Lund, 747 vice president and deputy program manager.

    “The schedule is achievable, but aggressive,” says Lund, who inherited control of the 747-8 program following the ousting of Mohammed ‘Mo’ Yahyavi in August 2010. Pat Shanahan, serves in a dual role as 747-8 general manager, while overseeing airplane programs as vice president.

    Delays on the 747-8F have stretched more than two years, with entry into service originally intended for late 2009. Manufacturing woes and flight test discoveries buckled the new freighter’s schedule, as Boeing was enduring years of delays on its flagship 787, originally planned for a May 2008 first delivery. 

    This post was originally published to the internet between 2007 and 2012. Links, images, and embedded media from that era may no longer function as intended.

    This post originally appeared at Flightglobal.com from 2007 to 2012.

  • Photo of Note: First 787 Dreamliner for China Southern

    EVERETT — I’m back in the factory overlooking the 787 final assembly line and sitting at position one in final body join is Airplane 34, the first Dreamliner for China Southern. China Southern joins ANA, JAL, Air India, RAM and LAN as 787 airframes in Everett.

    This post was originally published to the internet between 2007 and 2012. Links, images, and embedded media from that era may no longer function as intended.

    This post originally appeared at Flightglobal.com from 2007 to 2012.

  • Photos of Note: 747-8 Intercontinental from every angle inside and out

    EVERETT — I had an opportunity to get up close with the 747-8 production system over the past two days and see the new jumbo freighter – and Intercontinental – on the assembly line. The pictures begin with production test flight departure (not delivery flight) of an Air New Zealand 777-300ER for Auckland, lead into the Everett factory’s 40-21 and 40-22 buildings and culminates with photos from the premier, as well as the daylight roll-out of the ‘Sunrise’ livery. You’ve got 210 photos to sift through, so make sure you carve out some time after watching Movie Monday.

        

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    This post was originally published to the internet between 2007 and 2012. Links, images, and embedded media from that era may no longer function as intended.

    This post originally appeared at Flightglobal.com from 2007 to 2012.

  • Movie Monday – February 14 – Building the 747-100

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    EVERETT — This week’s Movie Monday is hands-down one of my favorites. It’s an hour-long look into the birth of the very first Boeing 747-100 packed full of historical footage from the late 1960s when RA001 was first being designed and built.
    At the time this video was made in 1989, fewer years had passed since the 747’s introduction to service, than have since passed, making this somewhat of a historical mid-point for where the 747-8 stands today. When I first saw this video back in 2005, former 747 program manager, Mal Stamper’s quote about Juan Trippe’s 1989 comments about the Soviet Union made it into my senior thesis. I always thought Trippe’s words on what commercial aviation meant for the the cooperation of nations captured the importance of using aviation as an ambassador.
    When Juan Trippe came to Seattle to sign the contract it happened to coincide with the 50th Anniversary of the Boeing Company, and he was the guest speaker at a large banquet downtown. And so he gave this speech on the 747… He said, “I think the 747 is a great weapon for peace, and its really competing with the international intercontinental missiles for man’s destiny”, which sort of surprised us all and he thought it was going to win. 
    He explained that when you have millions of tourists flying back and forth between countries and they were exchanging their goods and produce and products and so forth, that you would learn to like each other and learn to do business with each other before you blow them up… Turns out he was pretty close to right, because twenty years later we’re bringing out a new airplane, the 747-400 version, and that year Reagan and Gorbachev have decided to scrap missiles and we’re doing a trillion passenger miles in 1989. Juan Trippe was really a prophet.

    This post was originally published to the internet between 2007 and 2012. Links, images, and embedded media from that era may no longer function as intended.

    This post originally appeared at Flightglobal.com from 2007 to 2012.

  • Boeing and GE working triplicate 747-8 and 787 PIPs

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    EVERETT — Boeing and General Electric are looking to formalize a third performance improvement package (PIP) for its GEnx engine family to return the 747-8 fuel burn to original targets, as it advances on twin packages already in development on the 787, while further reducing nacelle drag.
    “We’re a little short,” says Boeing airplane programs vice president, Pat Shanahan of the 747-8’s performance, “We’re working with our friends at GE, they always appreciate my phone calls to say we need a little more.”
    The 747-8 PIP has no firm date for implementation, though preliminary development planning targets 2013, confirms David Joyce, president and CEO of GE Aviation.
    Joyce says the company is currently fight and ground testing a package of internal improvements to the GEnx-1B engine for the 787, portions of which will carry over to the 747-8’s 65,000lb GEnx-2B67 engine.
    The GEnx-2B engine features a smaller fan and pneumatically driven start system, compared to the GEnx-1B’s electric bleed-less architecture, though each contains a common core and 80% common line replaceable units. 
    Though while the exact fuel consumption shortfall or excess aircraft weight has not been publicly disclosed, Lufthansa’s Nico Buchholz, executive vice president Group Fleet Management, says the new jumbo will be able to meet the carrier’s requirements.
    “All the mission profiles we want, we can meet,” says Buchholz, “And actually we have very onerous points where we look for mission profiles, sometimes routes we don’t fly, but we pinpoint certain areas to find if there are any weaknesses, and then we are extremely pleased when we don’t find them. And I’m still pleased.”
    Buchholz adds the 747-8I’s PIP will require no operational change to the aircraft  “except we may save a little bit of fuel.”
    For twin 787 PIPs already in the works, “We will put that in the engines as soon as we finish the validation of it and we’re committed,” says Joyce. 
    GE says PIP1, which includes a revised low pressure turbine (LPT), will be test flown on ZA005 mid-year. The revision increases the blade, vane and nozzle count after a weight-saving reduction in these areas reduced performance. The GEnx-2B engine is already flying with the revised LPT, as program delays allowed its incorporation.
    PIP2, which features aerodynamic improvements to the high pressure compressor (HPC), has been in ground testing since December and GE expects to flight test the changes in the second half of 2011. Certification of these changes is likely in the first quarter of 2012, followed by entry into service in late 2012, says GE.
    “We’ve committed to Boeing that we’ll get on the fuel burn where we need to for the engine,” says Joyce of the GEnx family.
    According to a 2008 Airbus assessment of the 787, the GEnx-1B is believed to have missed specific fuel consumption (SFC) targets by 2 to 3%.
    In addition to PIP1 and PIP2, Joyce also says GE will further evaluate “not only the specific fuel consumption of the [GEnx-1B] engines, but any drag polars around the engine that may have to be cleaned up as well.”
    Joyce says Boeing and GE will gather flight test data to refine the installation of the 787’s GE engine and focus on “where the interaction occurs between the engine and the wing, and also the outside nacelle area and how the flow lines of the nacelle interact with the engine,” says Joyce.
    “So we’ve got some work to do cleaning up the installation, performance, and we’ve got programs already in play for the aerodynamic, thermodynamic performance inside the engine.
    “And that’ll just be something we do during the flight test program and that’s a collaborative effort with Boeing, we both own that responsibility,” adds Joyce.

    This post was originally published to the internet between 2007 and 2012. Links, images, and embedded media from that era may no longer function as intended.

    This post originally appeared at Flightglobal.com from 2007 to 2012.

  • Photo of Note: Boeing unveils sunrise 747-8I colors

    This post was originally published to the internet between 2007 and 2012. Links, images, and embedded media from that era may no longer function as intended.

    This post originally appeared at Flightglobal.com from 2007 to 2012.